/LMAR=0/XLINE=3/FONT#0=BASL30/FONT#1=BASI30/FONT#2=BASB30/FONT#10=BAXM30/FONT#11=ZERO30/FONT#5=MICR25/FONT#6=NGB30/FONT#9=GACS25
␈↓ ↓H␈↓¬␈↓ α≡OFFICE MEMORANDUM  *  STANFORD UNIVERSITY  *  OFFICE MEMORANDUM

␈↓ ↓H␈↓ε␈↓ βBSTANFORD ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE LABORATORY

␈↓ ↓H␈↓α␈↓ ¬vMay l5, 1980




␈↓ ↓H␈↓αTo:␈↓ αH␈↓Professor Elliott Bloom, Dr. Karl Horn, Dr. Edward Teller, Professor Miro Todorovich

␈↓ ↓H␈↓␈↓αFrom:␈↓ αH␈↓John McCarthy, Director, Arti≡cial Intelligence Lab.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓Dear Colleagues:

␈↓ ↓H␈↓Some␈α∩weeks␈α∩ago␈α∩Chauncey␈α∩Starr␈α∩suggested␈α∩that␈α∩we␈α∩contact␈α∩an␈α∩Alvin␈α∩Alm␈α∩of␈α∪Harvard␈α∩and
␈↓ ↓H␈↓formerly␈α⊂of␈α⊂D.O.E.␈α⊂about␈α⊂a␈α⊂conference␈α⊂he␈α⊂organized␈α⊂and␈α⊂held␈α⊂at␈α⊂the␈α⊂Aspen␈α⊂Institute␈α⊂at␈α⊂Wye
␈↓ ↓H␈↓Plantation,␈α∂Maryland,␈α⊂entitled␈α∂"Coping␈α⊂with␈α∂U.S.␈α⊂Petroleum␈α∂Interruptions,"␈α⊂and␈α∂held␈α⊂May␈α∂9-ll.
␈↓ ↓H␈↓This␈αwas␈αdone,␈αand␈αhe␈αis␈αspeaking␈αat␈αour␈αconference;␈αI␈αattended␈αhis␈αas␈αan␈αauditor.␈α I␈αenclose␈αthe
␈↓ ↓H␈↓program and list of attendees.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓Here are some disjointed remarks about the meeting.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    l.␈α∃ There␈α∃was␈α∃no␈α∃discussion␈α∀of␈α∃technology.␈α∃ Concentration␈α∃was␈α∃on␈α∃international␈α∀politics,
␈↓ ↓H␈↓allocation␈α∂schemes,␈α∂whether␈α⊂≡lling␈α∂the␈α∂Strategic␈α∂Petroleum␈α⊂Reserve␈α∂could␈α∂be␈α∂sneaked␈α⊂by␈α∂Saudi
␈↓ ↓H␈↓opposition␈αand␈αhow␈αmuch␈αto␈αrely␈αon␈αmarket␈αforces␈αvs.␈α rationing␈αin␈αan␈αemergency,␈αwhether␈αthere
␈↓ ↓H␈↓should␈α∞be␈α∞a␈α
single␈α∞agency␈α∞to␈α
buy␈α∞petroleum␈α∞from␈α
OPEC␈α∞for␈α∞OECD␈α
countries␈α∞in␈α∞an␈α
emergency
␈↓ ↓H␈↓and what taxes there should be.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    2.  No de≡nite conclusions were reached.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    3.␈α Chauncey␈αand␈αothers␈αcon≡rm␈αmy␈αimpression␈αthat␈αsentiment␈αhas␈αmoved␈αtowards␈αfree␈α
market
␈↓ ↓H␈↓approaches.  Those who ran allocation programs are disappointed in the results.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    4.␈α Maybe␈α
there␈αis␈αmore␈α
acceptance␈αthan␈αformerly␈α
of␈αproduction-oriented␈αapproaches,␈α
including
␈↓ ↓H␈↓electricity, but the only speeches in that direction were made by Starr and Alvin Weinberg.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    5.␈α Two␈αsenators␈αand␈αfour␈αmembers␈αof␈αthe␈αHouse␈αattended.␈α Good␈αcontributions␈αwere␈αmade␈αby
␈↓ ↓H␈↓Senator␈α
James␈α
McClure␈αand␈α
Congressman␈α
Clarence␈α
Brown␈α(both␈α
Republicans),␈α
who␈α
were␈αthe␈α
only
␈↓ ↓H␈↓Congressmen who stayed to the end.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    6.  I mentioned our conference to many people, and there was considerable interest.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    7.␈α⊂ Meg␈α⊂Power,␈α⊂who␈α⊂works␈α⊂for␈α⊂Senator␈α⊂Javits␈α∂of␈α⊂New␈α⊂York,␈α⊂suggested␈α⊂that␈α⊂he␈α⊂be␈α⊂sent␈α∂an
␈↓ ↓H␈↓invitation.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    8.␈α She␈αalso␈αsuggested␈αCarlyle␈αHjstad,␈αformerly␈αof␈αD.O.E.,␈αMichael␈αTelsa␈αof␈αthe␈αHouse␈αBudget
␈↓ ↓H␈↓Committee,␈αand␈αAri␈αWeiss,␈αDirector␈αof␈αthe␈αDemocratic␈αPolicy␈αand␈α(illegible)␈αCommittee.␈α A␈αphone
␈↓ ↓H␈↓conversation with her would elicit more facts about these people.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓    9.␈α Alvin␈αWeinberg␈αcan't␈αcome␈αbut␈αthinks␈αsome␈αpeople␈αat␈αhis␈αInstitute␈αmight␈αbe␈αinterested.␈α He
␈↓ ↓H␈↓sends his greetings to Miro and others.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓   10.  O≠ce of Technology Assessment people tended to assess technology negatively.
␈↓ ↓H␈↓αProfessor Elliott Bloom␈↓ ¬vMay l5, 1980␈↓ 
nPage 2␈↓ 


␈↓ ↓H␈↓   11.␈α The␈αonly␈αactive␈αenvironmentalist␈αsentiment␈αwas␈αexpressed␈αby␈αElvis␈αStahr␈αof␈αthe␈αAudubon
␈↓ ↓H␈↓Society.␈α
 He␈α∞sounded␈α
moderate,␈α∞but␈α
I␈α∞am␈α
not␈α∞certain␈α
that␈α∞they␈α
would␈α∞really␈α
compromise␈α∞on␈α
any
␈↓ ↓H␈↓issues.␈α
He␈α
doesn't␈α
know␈α
much␈α
about␈α
energy␈α
and␈α
"doubted␈α
that␈α
concentrating␈α
on␈α
nuclear␈αplants␈α
was
␈↓ ↓H␈↓good␈αsince␈αthey␈αare␈α
such␈αgood␈αtargets␈αin␈α
time␈αof␈αwar."␈α Chauncey␈α
dealt␈αwith␈αthat␈αone␈α
which␈αwas
␈↓ ↓H␈↓the only speci≡c anti-nuclear remark made.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓   12.␈α∂ Joseph␈α∂Nye,␈α∂one␈α∂of␈α∞the␈α∂main␈α∂speakers,␈α∂spoke␈α∂not␈α∞at␈α∂all␈α∂about␈α∂non-proliferation,␈α∂his␈α∞big
␈↓ ↓H␈↓thing when he was in the Government.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓   13.␈α In␈αgeneral,␈αI␈αgot␈αthe␈αimpression␈αthat␈αsentiment␈αin␈αthe␈α"energy␈αpolicy␈αcommunity"␈αis␈αmoving
␈↓ ↓H␈↓in a favorable direction but not very coherently.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓I hope these random remarks are helpful.


␈↓ ↓H␈↓Sincerely,


␈↓ ↓H␈↓John McCarthy
␈↓ ↓H␈↓αProfessor Elliott Bloom␈↓ ¬vMay l5, 1980␈↓ 
mPage 3␈↓	

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Conference attendees:

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Alvin L. Alm                           William W. Hogan
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	M.F. Kennedy School of Government      J. F. Kennedy School of Government

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Peter Borre                            Barton R. House
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Department of Energy                   Economic Regulatory Administration
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Department of Energy
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Bill Bradley
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	United States Senate                   Lionel S. Johns
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Office of Technology Assessment
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Clarence J. Brown, R., Ohio
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	U.S. House of Representatives          Llewellyn King
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       The Energy Daily
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	William H. Corkran, Jr.
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Wye Institute Fellow                   Susan P. Lewis
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	The Hon. John D. Dingell
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	U.S..House of Representatives          William Lewis
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Departmnt of Energy
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Paul Doty
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Science and International Affairs      Henry R. Linden
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Harvard University                     Gas Research Institute

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Daniel Dreydfus                        The Hon. James McClure
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Committee on Energy and Natural        U.S. Senate
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	    Resources
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	U.S. Senate
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Joseph Nye
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	The Hon. Joseph L. Fisher              J.F. Kennedy School of Government
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	U.S. House of Representatives
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Dana Orwick
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Robert W. Fri                          Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Energy Transition Corporation
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Frank M. Potter, Jr.
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	John H. Givvons                        Subcommittee on Energy and Power
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Office of Technology Assessment        U.S. House of Representatives

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	S. William Gouse                       Meg Power, Staff Director
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	The Mitre Corporation                  Subcommittee on Energy, Nuclear
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Proliferation and Federal Service
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Paul Hickman
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Times-Mirror Corporation               Stephen Ratner
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       The New York Times
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Eric Reichl
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Conoco Coal Development Company        Peter Roche
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       The Wall Street Journal
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Henry Rowen
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Graduate School of Business            Frederick P. Salvucci
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Stanford University                    Center for Transportation Studies
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Massachusetts Institute of Technology
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Philip Sharp
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	U.S. House of Representatives          Elvis J. Stahr
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       National Audubon Society
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Steven Stamas
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Exxon Corporation                      Chauncey Starr
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Electric Power Research Institute
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	David Sternlight
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Atlantic Richfild Company              William Taylor
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Department of Energy
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Alvin M. Feinberg
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Institute for Energy Analysis          Eric Zausner
␈↓ ↓H␈↓αProfessor Elliott Bloom␈↓ ¬vMay l5, 1980␈↓ 
mPage 4␈↓	

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Booz-Allen & Hamilton, Inc.

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                  AUDITORS

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	William E. Colglazier, Jr.             David Deese
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	J. F. Kennedy School of Government     J. F. Kennedy School of Government
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Harvard University                     Harvard University

␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Gina Despres                           Fred Hoffman
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Legislative Assistant to               Rand Corporation
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Senator Bill Bradley
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	                                       Ronnie J. Straw
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	John McCarthy                          Communications Workers of America
␈↓ ↓H␈↓	Stanford University